Helmers, Roelof; Mangku, I. - In: Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics 64 (2012) 6, pp. 1261-1279
We construct and investigate a (1−α)-upper prediction bound for a future observation of a cyclic Poisson process using past data. A normal based confidence interval for our upper prediction bound is established. A comparison of the new prediction bound with a simpler nonparametric prediction...