Moosa, Imad; Burns, Kelly - In: Applied Economics 46 (2014) 1, pp. 30-40
Several explanations have been put forward for the Meese--Rogoff puzzle that exchange rate models cannot outperform the random walk in out-of-sample forecasting. We suggest that a simple explanation for the puzzle is the use of the root mean square error (RMSE) to measure forecasting accuracy,...