This paper has three objectives. First, it examines the link between the term spread (difference between long-term and short-term rate of interest) and GDP growth in the Korean economy for the period 1980-1999. Second, it tests for the independent information content of the term spread by...

A new test for nonlinear causality and also nonparametric procedures suggest significant nonlinearity in the implementation of the Taylor rule by the Bank of Korea (BOK). In particular, the response to the output gap appears nonlinear.

Value-added taxes (VAT) have increased in a number of developed economies in recent years. The shift towards consumption taxes in general and VAT in particular has made it a politically sensitive tax. While it is generally accepted that an expenditure tax such as VAT is less distortionary and...

The purpose is to document the significance of non-linearity in the conditional mean and variance of the long-run annual UK GDP growth rate. In particular, an examination is made of asymmetry in conditional variance with respect to past shocks which implies that the conditional variance is...

Using fixed betting odds for football match outcomes this paper improves on previous versions of outcome uncertainty models of attendance demand by utilizing data on 'repeat' fixtures between two teams. This provides some control over the variation in match characteristics which influence...

Conditional on the Shin (Economic Journal, 103, 1993) model, the incidence of insider trading is estimated in two different British betting markets: those for horse-racing and the 1997 general election. Formal testing confirms that insider trading is significantly lower in handicap than...

Using data on 'spread' betting odds for rugby league football this study shows that handicap odds are unbiased and efficient predictors of match results and that, as a proxy for match uncertainty of outcomes, the handicap value is a significant determinant of attendance.

The purpose in this article is to demonstrate that buying more than one ticket in a lottery is readily explicable in models of utility that permit gambling at actuarially unfair odds. However, contrary to popular view, we show this choice cannot be explained in terms of a variance-skew trade-off.