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Using a new uncertainty index from Baker <italic>et al</italic>. (2013), we evaluate the time-varying correlation between macroeconomic uncertainty and commodity prices. Estimation results from a multivariate DCC-GARCH model reveal that increased volatility in uncertainty leads to increased price and volatility...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010976438
Using the forecast error variance decomposition from a vector auto-regression, this article examines both average and time-varying spillovers of macroeconomic uncertainty across major economies since 1997 and compares the ongoing crisis with earlier episodes. We show that spillover effects of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010953788