Diongue, Abdou Kâ; Guégan, Dominique; Vignal, Bertrand - In: Applied Energy 86 (2009) 4, pp. 505-510
In this article, we investigate conditional mean and conditional variance forecasts using a dynamic model following a k-factor GIGARCH process. Particularly, we provide the analytical expression of the conditional variance of the prediction error. We apply this method to the German electricity...