Cain, Michael; Law, David; Peel, David - In: Applied Financial Economics 12 (2002) 1, pp. 33-38
The answer to this question, based on a study of 1000 greyhound races, is 'no'. Although the efficient markets hypothesis asserts that speculative market prices optimally encapsulate all relevant information, it is found that 'Shin probabilities' (based on Shin, 1993), in which a dog's winning...