This study tests empirically the Balassa-Samuelson (BS) hypothesis using annual data for 12 OECD countries. New panel data cointegration techniques recently developed by Pedroni (2000) are applied and the results are compared with those obtained with conventional Johansen (1995)'s time series...

This paper develops a theoretical framework which allows for both domestic and external factors in the determination of interest rates. We argue that if capital controls are imposed, or if the risk premium is a function of disequilibria in the money market, domestic factors should also play a...

The paper tests the unbiasedness of interest differentials and term structure as predictors of inflation differentials and inflation changes, respectively, using three-, six- and twelve-month maturities in eight major industrial countries over the period 1981-1992. The first hypothesis requires...

In this article, we use fractional integration techniques to examine the degree of integration of four US stock market indices, namely the Standard and Poor (S&P), Dow Jones, Nasdaq and New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), at a daily frequency from January 2005 till December 2009. We analyse the...

This paper examines the structural linkages that may exist between the G7 national interest rates. Its aim is to exploit some new techniques in cointegration analysis to see to what extent conclusions can be drawn purely from the data without imposing any arbitrary identification conditions....

The tests of Robinson (Journal of the American Statistical Association, 89, 1420-37, 1994a) are used to analyse the degree of dependence in the intertemporal structure of daily stock returns (defined as the first difference of the logarithm of stock prices, where the series being considered is...

This paper compares the ability of nonlinear and standard linear models to capture the dynamics of foreign exchanges rates in the presence of structural breaks. The analysis is conducted for three East Asian countries, namely Indonesia, South Korea and Thailand. It is shown that a Markov...

This paper examines the dynamic interactions between mutual fund flows and security returns in an emerging capital market, namely the Greek one. It adopts a testing strategy not requiring pre-testing (which might generate severe biases) but simply augmenting the system (Toda and Yamamoto, 1995,...

This study reviews recent developments in the analysis of non-stationary panels, focusing on empirical applications of panel unit root and cointegration tests in the context of PPP. It highlights various drawbacks of existing methods. First, unit root tests suffer from severe size distortions in...