This empirical study examines the relation between the equity premium - the difference between the expected stock and risk-free return - and inflation in the major economies in the post-Bretton Woods era. We estimate a country-average level of the equity premium between 0.8% and 2%, confirming a...

Empirical results for the United States show that the credit risk premium leads the stock market by up to four weeks. They are robust across different stock market measures, empirical methods and sample periods. The finding of a flight to quality that first occurs in the corporate bond and...