This article attempts to examine whether the equity premium in the United States can be predicted from a comprehensive set of 18 economic and financial predictors over a monthly out-of-sample period of 2000:2 to 2011:12, using an in-sample period of 1990:2-2000:1. To do so, we consider, in...

This paper explores the relevance of asymmetry and long memory in modeling and forecasting the

The introduction of Euro currency was a game-changing event intended to induce convergence of

Market efficiency is among the foremost criteria for making investment decisions when foreign investors attempt to allocate their funds to emerging market assets. If the markets under consideration are efficient, quoted prices of the assets will serve as useful and reliable signals for capital...

This study investigates the energy-growth-trade nexus in Pakistan by using the annual time series data for the period of 1973-2011. Our main results show: i) the presence of long-run link between energy consumption and trade performance; ii) positive impact of gross domestic product, exports, and...

This paper explores the relevance of asymmetry and long memory in modeling and forecasting the conditional volatility and market risk of four major commodities (crude oil, natural gas, gold, and sil- ver). A broad set of the most popular linear and nonlinear GARCH-type models is used to...