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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003787159
multivariate density forecasts, based on the Kullback-Leibler Information Criterion (KLIC). The test is valid under general …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011377261
This paper explores ways to integrate model uncertainty into policy evaluation. We first describe a general framework for the incorporation of model uncertainty into standard econometric calculations. This framework employs Bayesian model averaging methods that have begun to appear in a range of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467771
ranked according to the information restrictions employed in constructing noise estimates. Our results show that … information sets that exclude those variables …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476117
We study the impact of private information on volatility in financial markets. We develop a comprehensive framework to … investigate this link while controlling for the effects of both public information (such as macroeconomic news releases) and … private information on prices and the effects of public information on volatility. Using a high-frequency 30-year U …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011386466