Showing 1 - 5 of 5
This paper explores ways to integrate model uncertainty into policy evaluation. We first describe a general framework for the incorporation of model uncertainty into standard econometric calculations. This framework employs Bayesian model averaging methods that have begun to appear in a range of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467771
ranked according to the information restrictions employed in constructing noise estimates. Our results show that … information sets that exclude those variables …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476117
The conventional wisdom in macroeconomic modeling is to attribute business cycle fluctuations to innovations in the … understood partly because modeling the latent volatilities can be quite demanding. This paper suggests a simply methodology that … equilibrium models and information in a large panel of data. Our largest volatility factor <i>V</i><sub>1</sub> is strongly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455010
then provide 22 different forms of information regarding past, current and/or future inflation and interest rates …. Information treatments about current and next year's interest rates have a strong effect on household expectations but treatments … constrained capacity to collect and process information …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479302
Using a large-scale survey of U.S. households during the Covid-19 pandemic, we study how new information about fiscal … the Nielsen Homescan panel with different combinations of information about the severity of the pandemic, recent actions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481579