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The state of the Indian economy 2009-10
Joseph C., Mathew (contributor) - 2009
capital account surplus because of the appreciation of the rupee. -- Forecasting Indian Economic Growth ; Economic Outlook and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003899434
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Indian economic outlook 2008-09 and 2009-10
Kumar, Rajiv (contributor) - 2009
of policy measures to get the Indian economy back on the path of sustained rapid and inclusive growth. -- Forecasting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003817276
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German economy currently scarcely making headway
Bönke, Timm; Dany-Knedlik, Geraldine; Baldi, Guido; … - In: DIW weekly report : economy, politics, science : a … 13 (2023) 36/37, pp. 245-253
Following the winter recession and stagnation in the second quarter of 2023, the economic upswing is proceeding at a sluggish pace, contrary to expectations over the summer. Weak foreign demand and ongoing inflation have proven to be slowing economic growth. For the time being, private...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014362798
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New DIW Berlin model can nowcast the current income distribution : inequality likely to slightly increase in 2023
Bönke, Timm; Dany-Knedlik, Geraldine; Pagenhardt, Laura - In: DIW weekly report : economy, politics, science : a … 13 (2023) 43/44, pp. 283-289
The unequal distribution of labor income in Germany is a hotly debated topic among policymakers and the general public alike. However, the relevant data for calculating the distribution is usually available with a delay of sometimes over two years. Accordingly, previous studies have only been...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014431177
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DIW Berlin economic forecast : forecast ranges from cloudy to bright
Bönke, Timm; Dany-Knedlik, Geraldine; Baldi, Guido; … - In: DIW weekly report : economy, politics, science : a … 13 (2023) 50/52, pp. 305-313
The recovery of the German economy is becoming an exercise in patience. In the third quarter of 2023 the economy fared worse than expected, in particular because private households continued to spend their money conservatively despite climbing wages and falling inflation. Both private...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014466268
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Warrant economics, call-put policy options and the fallacies of economic theory
Hatgioannides, John; Karanassou, Marika - 2011
In this paper we aim to trace the roots of the ongoing economic mayhem and to unmask the chorus of the tragedy which plays on the world stage. The main thesis of our work is that, despite the triumphant rhetoric praising the merits of perfect competition, the global fields of the dysfunctional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009488633
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Low frequency and weighted likelihood solutions for mixed frequency dynamic factor models
Blasques, Francisco; Koopman, Siem Jan; Mallee, Max I. P. - 2014
The multivariate analysis of a panel of economic and financial time series with mixed frequencies is a challenging problem. The standard solution is to analyze the mix of monthly and quarterly time series jointly by means of a multivariate dynamic model with a monthly time index: artificial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010391543
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Nowcasting and forecasting economic growth in the Euro area using principal components
Hindrayanto, Irma; Koopman, Siem Jan; Winter, Jasper de - 2014
short-term forecasting models. These empirical findings have been established for different macroeconomic data sets and … specification is most effective in its forecasting performance. Furthermore, the forecast performances of the different … extended empirical out-of-sample forecasting competition for quarterly growth of gross domestic product in the euro area and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010395082
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Estimating time-varying DSGE models using minimum distance methods
Giraitis, Liudas; Kapetanios, George; Theodoridis, … - 2015
Following Giraitis, Kapetanios, and Yates (2014b), this paper uses kernel methods to estimate a seven variable time-varying (TV) vector autoregressive (VAR) model on the data set constructed by Smets and Wouters (2007). We apply an indirect inference method to map from this TV VAR to time...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011405253
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IW Berlin economic outlook : summer upswing to follow winter slump
Baldi, Guido; Berenberg-Gossler, Paul; Engerer, Hella; … - In: DIW weekly report : economy, politics, science : a … 12 (2022) 7/8, pp. 53-64
The Omicron wave of the coronavirus has impacted economies worldwide, resulting in a bleak winter. Although restrictions on economic and public life have been less severe than at the beginning of 2021 in many places-mainly due to the progress of vaccination campaigns-and there are prospects of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013161604