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~isPartOf:"Applied economics"
~isPartOf:"Computational economics"
~isPartOf:"Discussion paper"
~isPartOf:"European journal of operational research : EJOR"
~isPartOf:"International journal of forecasting"
~subject:"Prognoseverfahren"
~subject:"VAR-Modell"
~subject:"World"
~subject:"Zeitreihenanalyse"
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Indian Economic Outlook 2008-0...
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Prognoseverfahren
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326
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285
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153
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153
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116
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Gupta, Rangan
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9
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7
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6
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4
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Ma, Tiejun
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3
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3
Bergmeir, Christoph
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Schüler, Yves
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Silvestrini, Andrea
3
Spiliotis, Evangelos
3
Syntetos, Aris A.
3
Önkal, Dilek
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Applied economics
Computational economics
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European journal of operational research : EJOR
International journal of forecasting
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65
IMF Working Paper
59
Energy economics
58
CESifo working papers
55
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55
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54
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52
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DIW weekly report : economy, politics, science : a policy bulletin from the German Institute for Economic Research
36
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ECONIS (ZBW)
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1
Doing more with less : the catalytic function of IMF lending and the role of program size
Krahnke, Tobias
-
2020
Financial assistance provided by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) is supposed to unlock other financing, acting as a catalyst for private capital flows. The empirical evidence of the presence of such a catalytic effect has, however, been mixed. This paper shows that a possible explanation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012197872
Saved in:
2
Economic analysis using higher frequency time series : challenges for seasonal adjustment
Ollech, Daniel
-
2021
The COVID-19 pandemic has increased the need for timely and granular information to assess the state of the economy in real time. Weekly and daily indices have been constructed using higher frequency data to address this need. Yet the seasonal and calendar adjustment of the underlying time...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012792800
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3
Data revisions to German national accounts : are initial releases good nowcasts?
Strohsal, Till
;
Wolf, Elias
-
2019
predictable. Moreover, using filtering techniques designed to process data subject to revisions, the real-time
forecasting
… aggregate GDP level appears to be good luck rather than good
forecasting
. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012034636
Saved in:
4
Addressing COVID-19 outliers in BVARs with stochastic volatility
Carriero, Andrea
;
Clark, Todd E.
;
Marcellino, Massimiliano
-
2022
the pandemic period, as well as for earlier subsamples of relatively high volatility. In historical
forecasting
, outlier …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013184356
Saved in:
5
Shadow-rate VARs
Carriero, Andrea
;
Clark, Todd E.
;
Marcellino, Massimiliano
-
2023
VARs are a popular tool for
forecasting
and structural analysis, but ill-suited to handle occasionally binding …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014320745
Saved in:
6
Heterogeneous expectations among professional forecasters
Conrad, Christian
;
Lahiri, Kajal
-
2023
Macroeconomic expectations of various economic agents are characterized by substantial cross-sectional heterogeneity. In this paper, we focus on expectations heterogeneity among professional forecasters. We first present stylized facts and discuss theoretical explanations for heterogeneous...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014472058
Saved in:
7
Banks, markets, and financial stability
Eder, Armin
;
Fecht, Falko
;
Pausch, Thilo
-
2014
We use a Diamond/Dybvig-based model with two banks operating in separate regions connected by a common asset market in which banks and sophisticated depositors invest. We study the effect of a potential run (crisis) and subsequent fire sales on the asset price in both the crisis and no-crisis...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010433396
Saved in:
8
Financial crises and shadow banks : a quantitative analysis
Rottner, Matthias
-
2022
Motivated by the build-up of shadow bank leverage prior to the financial crisis of 2007-2008, I develop a nonlinear macroeconomic model featuring excessive leverage accumulation and endogenous financial crises to capture the observed dynamics and to quantify the build-up of financial fragility....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013194657
Saved in:
9
Forecasting
leadership transitions around the world
Cáceres, Neila
;
Malone, Samuel W.
- In:
International journal of forecasting
29
(
2013
)
4
,
pp. 575-591
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010212467
Saved in:
10
A contribution to the empirics of convergence in real GDP growth : the role of financial crises and exchange-rate regimes
Morales Zumaquero, Amalia
;
Sosvilla-Rivero, Simón
- In:
Applied economics
48
(
2016
)
22/24
,
pp. 2156-2169
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011590395
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