, are relevant to forecasting economic growth and stock returns, and whether they contain information that is orthogonal to …

terms of the forecasting performance of the FCI. Additionally, Bayesian model averaging can improve in specific cases the …

short-term forecasting models. These empirical findings have been established for different macroeconomic data sets and … specification is most effective in its forecasting performance. Furthermore, the forecast performances of the different … extended empirical out-of-sample forecasting competition for quarterly growth of gross domestic product in the euro area and …

from internet search queries performed on the search engine Google. The forecasting performance of the Google Inflation …, Survey of Professional Forecasters, and the Michigan Survey. While useful in developing models of forecasting inflation …

economics and forecasting. It can assist to solve paradoxes such as Allais paradox and the “four-fold-pattern” paradox and to … create the correcting formula of forecasting. …

A general correcting formula of forecasting (as a framework for long-use and standardized forecasts) is proposed. The … formula provides new forecasting resources and areas of application including economic forecasting. …