wholesale power markets have only recently been deregulated. We introduce the weather factor into well-known forecasting models …

For forecasting volatility of futures returns, the paper proposes an indirect method based on the relationship between … futures and the underlying asset for the returns and time-varying volatility. For volatility forecasting, the paper considers … that the new method based on stochastic volatility models with the asymmetry and long memory outperforms the forecasting …

The paper investigates the impact of jumps in forecasting co-volatility, accommodating leverage effects. We modify the … forecasting weekly and monthly horizons. …