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employment growth rates across sectors (G) and the unemployment rate implies that shifts in demand from some sectors to others … are responsible for a substantial fraction of cyclical variation in unemployment. This paper demonstrates that, under … the unemployment rate. Two tests are developed which permit one to distinquish between a pure sectoral shift …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477679
This paper presents two key facts which call into question the value of unemployment rates as barometers of labor … market tightness. First, while both unemployment rates and unsatisfied labor demand proxies perform reasonably well on their … pairing the relevant unemployment rate and unsatisfied demand proxies. The paper also provides results which indicate that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478332
This paper accounts for the observed increase in unemployment duration relative to the unemployment rate in the U ….S. over the past thirty years, typified by the record low level of short-term unemployment. We show that part of the increase … remaining increase in unemployment duration relative to the unemployment rate is concentrated among women, whose unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470205
This paper first documents trends in employment rates and then reviews what is known about the various factors that have been proposed to explain the decline in the overall employment-to-population ratio between 1999 and 2016. Population aging has had a notable effect on the overall employment...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012453381
unemployment they have experienced (state dependence). We use Current Population Survey (CPS) data on unemployed individuals linked … outcomes. Even with these controls in place, we find that unemployment duration has a strongly negative effect on the … explanation for the negative association between unemployment duration and subsequent employment rates. We also find that longer …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456015