Showing 1 - 10 of 705
This paper consists of three reports on stochastic forecasting for Social Security, on infinite horizons, immigration, and structural time series models. 1) In our preferred stochastic immigration forecast, total net immigration drops from current levels down to about one million by 2020, then...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013230407
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011846934
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014549231
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009719647
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003298603
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001243881
and forecasting. Building on the theory of continuous-time arbitrage-free price processes and the theory of quadratic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012787458
We present theory and evidence that challenges the view that forward premia contain little information regarding …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012763403
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012100432
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011640093