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This paper proposes a hidden state Markov model (HMM) that incorporates workers' unobserved labor market attachment into the analysis of labor market dynamics. Unlike previous literature, which typically assumes that a worker's observed labor force status follows a first-order Markov process,...
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The paper examines the consequences of fiscal consolidation in times of persistently low growth and high unemployment … unemployment at five-year horizons are significantly above one during PR episodes. These results suggest that medium-term fiscal …
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using macroeconomic data on employment, unemployment, participation, and (for Canada) migration and real wages. We find that …
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The Great Recession pushed Japan’s unemployment rate to historic highs, but the increase has been small by …
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This paper examines the sources of disturbances to output in the United States and a set of EU countries and analyzes labor market adjustment mechanisms in these two economic areas. Comparable datasets comprising 1-digit sectoral data for eight U.S. regions and eight European countries are...
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