Mumtaz, Haroon; Surico, Paolo - 2013
This paper estimates the impact on the US economy of four types of uncertainty about (i) government spending, (ii) tax … changes, (iii) public debt sustainability and (iv) monetary policy. Following a one standard deviation shock, uncertainty …, consumption and investment after two years around 0.5%, 0.3% and 1.5% respectively. Uncertainty on the other economic policies has …