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States, the United Kingdom, and Germany using the Campbell-Shiller (1991) regressions and a vector …-problem effects is largely consistent with term structure data from the U.S., U.K., and Germany …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013232709
. In addition to standard Wald tests, we formulate Lagrange Multiplier and Distance Metric tests which require estimation … under the non-linear constraints of the null hypotheses. Estimation under the null is achieved by iterating on approximate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013232893
The paper characterizes predictable components in excess rates of returns on major equity and foreign exchange markets using lagged excess returns, dividend yields, and forward premiums as instruments. Vector autoregressive techniques demonstrate one-step-ahead predictability and provide implied...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012767709