Showing 1 - 10 of 10
econometric performance of regime-switching models for interest rate data from the US, Germany and the UK. There is strong …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012774902
We ask whether stock returns in France, Germany, Japan, the UK and the US are predictable by three instruments: the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012763174
States, the United Kingdom, and Germany using the Campbell-Shiller (1991) regressions and a vector …-problem effects is largely consistent with term structure data from the U.S., U.K., and Germany …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013232709
. In addition to standard Wald tests, we formulate Lagrange Multiplier and Distance Metric tests which require estimation … under the non-linear constraints of the null hypotheses. Estimation under the null is achieved by iterating on approximate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013232893
Government is often considered the safe sector of an open economy that provides households with insurance against external risk exposure. Among highly integrated economies, however, households should be able to exploit common financial markets to insure themselves. In this paper we examine the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011350143
Using annual data on nine manufacturing sectors of eighteen OECD countries, the article studies the implications of market structure for cross-country relative price variability. It is found that, in accordance with predictions from a standard markup pricing model, reductions in market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002756347
We examine the effects of both equity market liberalization and capital account openness on real consumption growth variability. We show that financial liberalization is mostly associated with lower consumption growth volatility. Our results are robust, surviving controls for business-cycle...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012755765
Even though external debt can play a buffer role against adverse shocks to assist consumption smoothing, it may also exert a volatility amplifying effect, depending on the currency of denomination and the cyclicality of the borrower’s exchange rate. We empirically investigate the nexus between...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012218984
For emerging economies, borrowing abroad is a double-edged sword: it can buffer against adverse economic shocks and smooth their domestic consumption; however, it can also amplify volatility in consumption, depending on the currency in which the debt is denominated and cyclicality in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013445453
The paper characterizes predictable components in excess rates of returns on major equity and foreign exchange markets using lagged excess returns, dividend yields, and forward premiums as instruments. Vector autoregressive techniques demonstrate one-step-ahead predictability and provide implied...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012767709