Showing 1 - 6 of 6
We study the pricing of uncertainty shocks using a wide-ranging set of options that reveal premia for macroeconomic risks. Portfolios hedging macro uncertainty have historically earned zero or even significantly positive returns, while those exposed to the realization of large shocks have earned...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013224964
Firm volatilities co-move strongly over time, and their common factor is the dispersion of the economy-wide firm size distribution. In the cross section, smaller firms and firms with a more concentrated customer base display higher volatility. Network effects are essential to explaining the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013075427
We show that firms' idiosyncratic volatility obeys a strong factor structure and that shocks to the common factor in idiosyncratic volatility (CIV) are priced. Stocks in the lowest CIV-beta quintile earn average returns 5.4% per year higher than those in the highest quintile. The CIV factor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013054863
We propose a new measure of time-varying tail risk that is directly estimable from the cross section of returns. We exploit firm-level price crashes every month to identify common fluctuations in tail risk across stocks. Our tail measure is significantly correlated with tail risk measures...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013311916
We document a form of excess volatility that is irreconcilable with standard models of prices, even after accounting for variation in discount rates. We compare prices of claims on the same cash flow stream but with different maturities. Standard models impose precise internal consistency...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012997883
innovation. We identify significant patents based on textual similarity of a given patent to previous and subsequent work: these … aggregate, sectoral, and firm level. Our technology indices span two centuries (1840-2010) and cover innovation by private and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012907760