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On the Effects of Sanctions on Trade and Welfare : New Evidence Based on Structural Gravity and a New Database

Felbermayr, Gabriel J. - 2019

Using a new, global data base covering the years 1950 to 2015, we study the impact of sanctions on international trade and welfare. We make use of the rich dimensionality of our data and of the latest developments in the structural gravity literature. Starting with a broad evaluation by sanction...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012866418

The Global Sanctions Data Base – Release 3 : COVID-19, Russia, and Multilateral Sanctions

Syropoulos, Constantinos; Felbermayr, Gabriel J.; … - 2022

This paper introduces the third update/release of the Global Sanctions Data Base (GSDB-R3). The GSDB-R3 extends the period of coverage from 1950-2019 to 1950-2022, which includes two special periods – COVID-19 and the war between Russia and Ukraine. The new update of the GSDB contains a total...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014241203

Decoupling Global Value Chains

Eppinger, Peter; Felbermayr, Gabriel J.; Krebs, Oliver; … - 2021

Recent disruptions to global value chains (GVCs) have raised an important question: Can decoupling from GVCs increase a country’s welfare by reducing its exposure to foreign supply shocks? We use a quantitative trade model to simulate GVCs decoupling, defined as increased barriers to global...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013227605

Exploring the intensive and extensive margins of world trade

Felbermayr, Gabriel J.; Kohler, Wilhelm K. - 2004

World trade evolves at two margins. Where a bilateral trading relationship already exists it may increase through time … have not traded with each other in the past (extensive margin). We provide an empirical dissection of post-World-War- II … growth in manufacturing world trade along these two margins. We propose a ?cornersolutions- version? of the gravity model to …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274453

A pair-wise approach to testing for output and growth convergence

Pesaran, Mohammad Hashem - 2004

to output series in the Penn World Tables over 1950-2000, as well as to Maddion's historical series over 1870 …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276156

Alternative approaches to estimation and inference in large multifactor panels : small sample results with an application to modelling of asset returns

Kapetanios, George; Pesaran, Mohammad Hashem - 2005

This paper considers alternative approaches to the analysis of large panel data models in the presence of error cross section dependence. A popular method for modelling such dependence uses a factor error structure. Such models raise new problems for estimation and inference. This paper compares...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276160

Exploring the international linkages of the euro area : a global VAR analysis

Dees, Stephane; di Mauro, Filippo; Pesaran, Mohammad Hashem - 2005

This paper presents a global model linking individual country vector error-correcting models in which the domestic variables are related to the country-specific variables as an approximate solution to a global common factor model. This global VAR is estimated for 26 countries, the euro area...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276161

Global business cycles and credit risk

Pesaran, Mohammad Hashem; Schuermann, Til; Treutler, … - 2005

risk factors. Using a global vector autoregressive macroeconometric model accounting for about 80% of world output, we …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276170

Infinite dimensional VARs and factor models

Chudik, Alexander; Pesaran, Mohammad Hashem - 2007

This paper introduces a novel approach for dealing with the 'curse of dimensionality' in the case of large linear dynamic systems. Restrictions on the coefficients of an unrestricted VAR are proposed that are binding only in a limit as the number of endogenous variables tends to infinity. It is...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276215

Identification of new Keynesian Phillips Curves from a global perspective

Dees, Stephane; Pesaran, Mohammad Hashem; Smith, L. Vanessa - 2008

New Keynesian Phillips Curves (NKPC) have been extensively used in the analysis of monetary policy, but yet there are a number of issues of concern about how they are estimated and then related to the underlying macroeconomic theory. The first is whether such equations are identified. To check...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276218