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This paper provides a general framework for integration of high-frequency intraday data into the measurement forecasting of daily and lower frequency volatility and return distributions. Most procedures for modeling and forecasting financial asset return volatilities, correlations, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012787458
We provide a framework for evaluating and improving multivariate density forecasts. Among other things, the multivariate framework lets us evaluate the adequacy of density forecasts involving cross-variable interactions, such as time-varying conditional correlations. We also provide conditions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013239958
's most persistent pockets of joblessness. Could a more even spatial distribution of innovation reduce American joblessness …? Could Federal policies disperse innovation without significant costs? If research funding is already maximizing knowledge … production, then spatial reallocation of that funding will reduce America's overall innovation unless that reallocation comes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012869066
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Two often-divergent U.S. GDP estimates are available, a widely-used expenditure side version, GDPE, and a much less widely-used income-side version GDPI . We propose and explore a "forecast combination" approach to combining them. We then put the theory to work, producing a superior combined...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013120293
the world's top 150 banks, 2003-2014. We characterize static network connectedness using full-sample estimation and … dynamic network connectedness using rolling-window estimation. Statically, we find that global bank equity connectedness has a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012963187
What do academics have to offer market risk management practitioners in financial institutions? Current industry practice largely follows one of two extremely restrictive approaches: historical simulation or RiskMetrics. In contrast, we favor flexible methods based on recent developments in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012784980
We demonstrate that data from digital platforms such as Yelp have the potential to improve our understanding of gentrification, both by providing data in close to real time (i.e. nowcasting and forecasting) and by providing additional context about how the local economy is changing. Combining...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012911707