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Modeling and Forecasting Realized Volatility

Andersen, Torben G. - 2002

This paper provides a general framework for integration of high-frequency intraday data into the measurement forecasting of daily and lower frequency volatility and return distributions. Most procedures for modeling and forecasting financial asset return volatilities, correlations, and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012787458

Real-Time Multivariate Density Forecast Evaluation and Calibration : Monitoring the Risk of High-Frequency Returns on Foreign Exchange

Diebold, Francis X.; Hahn, Jinyong; Tay, Anthony S. - 2021

We provide a framework for evaluating and improving multivariate density forecasts. Among other things, the multivariate framework lets us evaluate the adequacy of density forecasts involving cross-variable interactions, such as time-varying conditional correlations. We also provide conditions...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013239958

The Spatial Mismatch between Innovation and Joblessness

Glaeser, Edward L. - 2019

's most persistent pockets of joblessness. Could a more even spatial distribution of innovation reduce American joblessness …? Could Federal policies disperse innovation without significant costs? If research funding is already maximizing knowledge … production, then spatial reallocation of that funding will reduce America's overall innovation unless that reallocation comes …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012869066

Measuring Gentrification : Using Yelp Data to Quantify Neighborhood Change

Glaeser, Edward L. - 2018

We demonstrate that data from digital platforms such as Yelp have the potential to improve our understanding of gentrification, both by providing data in close to real time (i.e. nowcasting and forecasting) and by providing additional context about how the local economy is changing. Combining...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012911707

Cyclical Job Ladders by Firm Size and Firm Wage

Haltiwanger, John - 2017

We study whether workers progress up firm wage and size job ladders, and the cyclicality of this movement. Search theory predicts that workers should flow towards larger, higher paying firms. However, we see little evidence of a firm size ladder, partly because small, young firms poach workers...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012954466

Estimating Global Bank Network Connectedness

Demirer, Mert - 2017

the world's top 150 banks, 2003-2014. We characterize static network connectedness using full-sample estimation and … dynamic network connectedness using rolling-window estimation. Statically, we find that global bank equity connectedness has a …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012963187

Reallocation in the Great Recession : Cleansing or Not?

Foster, Lucia - 2015

The high pace of reallocation across producers is pervasive in the U.S. economy. Evidence shows this high pace of reallocation is closely linked to productivity. While these patterns hold on average, the extent to which the reallocation dynamics in recessions are "cleansing" is an open question....

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013032698

Private Equity, Jobs, and Productivity

Davis, Steven J. - 2015

Private equity critics claim that leveraged buyouts bring huge job losses and few gains in operating performance. To evaluate these claims, we construct and analyze a new dataset that covers U.S. buyouts from 1980 to 2005. We track 3,200 target firms and their 150,000 establishments before and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013035041

What is Different About Urbanization in Rich and Poor Countries? Cities in Brazil, China, India and the United States

Chauvin, Juan Pablo - 2016

Are the well-known facts about urbanization in the United States also true for the developing world? We compare American metropolitan areas with comparable geographic units in Brazil, China and India. Both Gibrat's Law and Zipf's Law seem to hold as well in Brazil as in the U.S., but China and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012998418

Practical Volatility and Correlation Modeling for Financial Market Risk Management

Andersen, Torben G. - 2005

What do academics have to offer market risk management practitioners in financial institutions? Current industry practice largely follows one of two extremely restrictive approaches: historical simulation or RiskMetrics. In contrast, we favor flexible methods based on recent developments in...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012784980