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Does the yield spread retain its forecasting ability during the 2007 recession? : a comparative analysis

Evgenidis, Anastasios; Siriopoulos, Costas - In: Applied economics letters 21 (2014) 10/12, pp. 817-822

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010416254

The effect of dispatch methods on a recruiting campaign for a business survey : evidence from Germany

Brandt, Przemyslaw; Demmelhuber, Katrin; Wohlrabe, Klaus - In: Applied economics letters 28 (2021) 13, pp. 1141-1144

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012589978

Differences in response patterns in a mixed mode : online/paper & pencil business survey

Kaiser, Ulrich - 2001

business survey in the German business-related services sector when respondents may freely choose to respond either online or …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013428432

Quantification of qualitative data using ordered probit models with an application to a business survey in the German service sector

Kaiser, Ulrich; Spitz-Oener, Alexandra - 2000

This paper aims at providing business survey analysts with simple econometric tools to quantify qualitative survey data …. We extend the traditional and commonly applied method proposed by Carlson and Parkin (1975) to capture observable survey … respondent heterogeneity. We also discuss specification tests. The empirical analysis is based on business survey data taken from …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001531547

Equity premium predictability over the business cycle

Mönch, Emanuel; Stein, Tobias - 2021

The equity premium follows a pronounced v-shape pattern around the beginning of recessions. It sharply drops into negative territory just before business cycle peaks and then strongly recovers as the recession unfolds. Recessions are preceded by an inverted yield curve. Thus probit models using...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012607106

What does forecaster disagreement tell us about the state of the economy?

Bürgi, Constantin; Sinclair, Tara M. - In: Applied economics letters 28 (2021) 1, pp. 49-53

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012415056

The impact of political announcements on expectations concerning the starting date of the EMU : a microeconometric approach to the detection of event-dependent answering patterns i...

Kaiser, Ulrich - 1997

This paper examines German business survey data to uncover the influence of political news on expectations concerning … the starting date of the European Monetary Union (EMU). In this survey the participants were asked to indicate whether … delayed start. The empirical results show that survey results generally have to be carefully interpreted if news about the …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011621979