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unemployment on voting behaviour. We construct an instrument for unemployment based on the city-level exposure to foreign weak … banks. We find that a one standard deviation increase in instrumented unemployment translates into a 7 percentage increase …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014305674
country has experienced since the Great Depression. The unemployment rate reached as high as 10.1 percent in October 2009 … those in the past by examining worker flows into and out of unemployment taking into account changes in the demographic … results indicate that the increase in the unemployment rate is driven to a larger extent by the lack of hiring (low outflows …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009261372
According to a widespread view, Germany's unemployment crisis is caused by rigid labour markets, low profitability and … Germany's unemployment rate since 1989, first because no distinction is drawn between the situation in the Eastern part of … negotiations. The unification shock to the East added at least 2.5 percentage points to Germany's overall unemployment rate, as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009668127
This paper examines whether government ideology has influenced monetary policy in OECD countries. We use quarterly data in the 1980.1-2005.4 period and exclude EMU countries. Our Taylor-rule specification focuses on the interactions of a new time-variant index of central bank independence with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009580361
We present a model of optimal government policy when policy choices may exacerbate socio-political instability (SPI). We show that optimal policy that takes into account SPI transforms a standard concave growth model into a model with both a poverty trap and endogenous growth. The resulting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011437000
This paper generalizes the analysis of distributive conflict, politics, and growth developed by by Alesina-Rodrik (1994). We construct a heterogenous-agent framework in which both growth and the distribution of wealth are endogenous. Due to adjustments in the distribution of wealth, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011437002
Is it politically feasible for governments to engineer endogenous growth? This paper illustrates two reasonable political decision mechanisms by which fiscal policy generates endogenous growth with a single accumulable factor, under a constant returns to scale production technology, and without...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011437196
It is striking that economists in particular firmly believe in the benefits of rule-binding, even though this belief runs counter to the standard assumption of economic theory that we humans are self-interested and therefore extremely resourceful when it comes to circumventing inconvenient...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012671851
With more than ten thousand casualties, the 2014 Ukrainian war between pro-Russian separatists and the government in the Donbass region, Ukraine's productive core, has taken a severe toll on the country. Using cross-country panel data over the period 1995-2017, this paper quantifies the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012005303