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We assess the power of forward guidance—promises about future interest rates—as a monetary tool in a liquidity trap using a quantitative incomplete-markets model. Our results suggest the effects of forward guidance are negligible. A commitment to keep future nominal interest rates low for a...
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Reserve and commercial inflation forecasts. We demonstrate that the Federal Reserve has considerable information about … inflation beyond what is known to commercial forecasters. We also provide evidence that monetary policy actions provide signals …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013218719
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We examine the quantitative impact of the Federal Reserve's mortgage-backed securities (MBS) purchase program. We focus on how much of the recent decline in mortgage interest rate spreads can be attributed to these purchases. The question is more difficult than frequently perceived because of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013149572
Central banks no longer set the short-term interest rates that they use for monetary policy purposes by manipulating the supply of banking system reserves, as in conventional economics textbooks; today this process involves little or no variation in the supply of central bank liabilities. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013141286
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The paper develops robust measures of core inflation for Vietnam that can be used in policy making. These core … inflation measures (CIMs) are based on an analytical evaluation of the inflation process in Vietnam, and use a filtering … better. Among TMMs, 'one trim does not fit all periods'; periods of high and variable inflation require larger trims, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011436747
This paper examines the association between inflation, monetary policy and U.S. stock market conditions during the … episodes and find evidence that inflation and interest rate shocks had particularly strong impacts on market conditions in the … postwar era. Disinflation shocks promoted market booms and inflation shocks contributed to busts. We conclude that central …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012771830
This paper examines the impact of the money supply and inflation rate announcements on interest rates. Survey data on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013217228