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We ask whether stock returns in France, Germany, Japan, the UK and the US are predictable by three instruments: the …
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This paper examines the historical evolution of central bank credibility using both historical narrative and empirics for a group of 16 countries, both advanced and emerging. It shows how the evolution of credibility has gone through a pendulum where credibility was high under the classical gold...
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This paper analyzes German monetary policy in the post-Bretton Woods era. Despite the public focus on monetary targeting, in practice, German monetary policy involves the management of short term interest rates, as it does in the United States. Except during the mid to late 1970s, the Bundesbank...
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environment provides a plausible framework for understanding real dollar--DM exchange rate dynamics from 1976 to 2003. The least …
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