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Assessing the economic impact of the COVID-19 pandemic is essential for policymakers, but challenging because the crisis has unfolded with extreme speed. We identify three indicators – stock market volatility, newspaper-based economic uncertainty, and subjective uncertainty in business...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012837188
A growing body of evidence suggests that uncertainty is counter cyclical, rising sharply in recessions and falling in booms. But what is the causal relationship between uncertainty and growth? To identify this we construct cross country panel data on stock market levels and volatility as proxies...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013062729
institutions. The euro has operated as a currency without a state, under the dominance of Germany. This has so far allowed the euro … to achieve a number of design objectives, and this may continue, as long as Germany does not shirk its growing … responsibility for the euro's future. Germany's resilience and dominant size within the EU may explain its "muddling …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013052139
effect on innovation. We develop a simple "trapped factor" model of innovation that is consistent with these empirical …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013038317