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Saving and the Long Shadow of Macroeconomic Shocks
Aizenman, Joshua - 2013
The global crisis of 2008 raises many questions regarding the long‐term response to crises. We know that households that lost access to credit, for example, were forced to adjust and increase saving. But, will households keep on saving more than they would have done otherwise had the global...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013081508
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Savings and the Terms of Trade Under Borrowing Constraints
Agenor, Pierre-Richard; Aizenman, Joshua - 2021
This paper examines the extent to which permanent terms-of-trade shocks have an asymmetric effect on private savings. The first part uses a simple three-period model to show that, if households expect to face binding borrowing constraints in bad states of nature, savings rates will respond...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013244885
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Does Uncertainty Reduce Growth? Using Disasters as Natural Experiments
Baker, Scott R. - 2014
A growing body of evidence suggests that uncertainty is counter cyclical, rising sharply in recessions and falling in booms. But what is the causal relationship between uncertainty and growth? To identify this we construct cross country panel data on stock market levels and volatility as proxies...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013062729
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The Eurocrisis : Muddling Through, or on the Way to a More Perfect Euro Union?
Aizenman, Joshua - 2014
institutions. The euro has operated as a currency without a state, under the dominance of Germany. This has so far allowed the euro … to achieve a number of design objectives, and this may continue, as long as Germany does not shirk its growing … responsibility for the euro's future. Germany's resilience and dominant size within the EU may explain its "muddling …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013052139
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Trade Induced Technical Change? The Impact of Chinese Imports on Innovation, it and Productivity
Bloom, Nicholas - 2015
effect on innovation. We develop a simple "trapped factor" model of innovation that is consistent with these empirical …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013038317