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Central Bank Credibility, Reputation and Inflation Targeting in Historical Perspective

Bordo, Michael D. - 2014

This paper examines the historical evolution of central bank credibility using both historical narrative and empirics for a group of 16 countries, both advanced and emerging. It shows how the evolution of credibility has gone through a pendulum where credibility was high under the classical gold...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013043621

Central Bank Credibility : An Historical and Quantitative Exploration

Bordo, Michael D. - 2015

In this paper we provide empirical measures of central bank credibility and augment these with historical narratives from eleven countries. To the extent we are able to apply reliable institutional information we can also indirectly assess their role in influencing the credibility of the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013030622

The Price of Stability : The Balance Sheet Policy of the Banque De France and the Gold Standard (1880-1914)

Bazot, Guillaume - 2014

Under the classical gold standard (1880-1914), the Bank of France maintained a stable discount rate while the Bank of England changed its rate very frequently. Why did the policies of these central banks, the two pillars of the gold standard, differ so much? How did the Bank of France manage to...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013046162

Rethinking the Role of NAIRU in Monetary Policy : Implications of Model Formulation and Uncertainty

Estrella, Arturo; Mishkin, Frederic S. - 2021

In this paper we rethink the NAIRU concept and examine whether it might have a useful role in monetary policy. We argue that it can, but success depends critically on defining NAIRU as a short-run concept and distinguishing it from a long-run concept like the natural rate of unemployment. We...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013231562

The Sensitivity of Consumption to Transitory Income : Estimates from Panel Data on Households

Hall, Robert E.; Mishkin, Frederic S. - 2021

We investigate the stochastic relation between income and consumption (specifically, consumption of food) within a panel of about 2,000 households. Our major findings are: 1. Consumption responds much more strongly to permanent than to transitory movements of income. 2. The response to...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013313805

Does Anticipated Monetary Policy Matter? an Econometric Investigation

Mishkin, Frederic S. - 2021

Recent theorizing with business cycle models which incorporate features of the Friedman-Phelps natural rate model along with rational expectations lead to the following policy conclusions. Anticipated changes in aggregate demand policy will have already been taken into account in economic agents...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013227072

Is There a Role for Monetary Aggregates in the Conduct of Monetary Policy?

Estrella, Arturo - 2006

We examine the potential policy role of monetary aggregates by attempting to use them as effectively as possible in the analysis of empirical relationships. We consider three possible roles: as information variables, as indicators of policy actions and as instruments in a policy rule. These...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012783973

Rules, Discretion, and Central Bank Independence : The German Experience 1880-1989

eschweiler, Bernard; Bordo, Michael D. - 2021

best. Monetary policy in Germany during the past one hundred years provides an excellent case to assess the empirical … authority in 1876, Germany has participated in four monetary regimes: the pre-war gold standard, the inter-war gold standard … in Germany was always geared toward maintaining price stability with the exception of the two world war periods. Germany …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013224864

Violations of the `Rules of the Game' and the Credibility of the Classical Gold Standard, 1880-1914

Bordo, Michael D.; MacDonald, Ronald - 2021

This paper examines the recently noted finding that the Classical gold standard represented a credible, well-behaved target zone system from the perspective of the well-documented failure of countries to play by the rules of the game in the classical period. In particular, we test an hypothesis...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013239352

Central Banks : Evolution and Innovation in Historical Perspective

Bordo, Michael D. - 2017

Central banks have evolved for close to four centuries. This paper argues that for two centuries central banks caught up to the strategies followed by the leading central banks of the era; the Bank of England in the eighteenth and nineteenth centuries and the Federal Reserve in the twentieth...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012947026