returns by aggregate investment and valuation ratios; and v) a downward sloping term structure of risk premia for dividend … firm characteristics - Tobin's Q, past investment, earnings-price ratios, market betas, and idiosyncratic volatility of … the firm's exposure to IST shocks and risk premia. Our calibrated model replicates: i) the predictability of returns by …

probability of disaster leads to a collapse of investment and a recession, an increase in risk spreads, and a decrease in the … shocks to aggregate uncertainty, I introduce a small, time-varying risk of economic disaster in a standard real business … risk of disaster does not affect the path of macroeconomic aggregates - a "separation theorem" between macroeconomic …

I study irreversible investment decisions when projects take time to complete, and are subject to two types of …, and materials that will ultimately be required to complete the project, and that is only resolved as the investment … required, and which is external to the firm's investment activity. I derive a simple decision rule that maximizes the firm …

We re-examine the basic investment problem of deciding when to incur a sunk cost to obtain a stochastically fluctuating … benefit. The optimal investment rule satisfies a trade-off between a larger versus a later net benefit; we show that this … demand curve. We reinterpret the optimal investment rule as a markup formula involving an elasticity that has exactly the …

Japan's macroeconomic performance, as reflected by impulse response functions for investment, employment and output. Our …

This study uncovers a statistically significant negative correlation between volatility and private investment over the … number of different measures, volatility reduces private investment in developing countries. We then show that the … continue to hold even if the coefficient of relative risk aversion approaches zero (that is, even if the marginal utility of …

find that policy uncertainty raises stock price volatility and reduces investment and employment in policy … foreshadow declines in investment, output, and employment in the United States and, in a panel VAR setting, for 12 major …