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CESEE EU countries align more closely with the euro area than non-EU countries. The unemployment-inflation relationship …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015402052
variables has declined systematically over time. In contrast, the response of inflation and the short-term interest rate to this … consistent with an increase in the monetary authorities' anti-inflation stance and a 'flattening' of the Phillips curve. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010472799
Japan are included; this provides benchmarks upon which to compare the characteristics of the developing country cycles and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003990418
of this analysis is that the model overestimates output persistence in high inflation countries and underestimates output … persistence in low inflation countries. This has important implications not only for this model, but also for any economist … persistence ; Vertical production chain ; Staggered price contracts ; Economic development ; Inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008665125
We use a factor model with stochastic volatility to decompose the time-varying variance of Macro economic and Financial variables into contributions from country-specific uncertainty and uncertainty common to all countries. We find that the common component plays an important role in driving the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011306276
This paper studies the extent to which alternative loan loss provisioning regimes affect the procyclicality of the financial system and financial stability. It uses a DSGE model with financial frictions (namely, balance sheet and collateral effects, as well as economies of scope in banking) and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011472122
We analyze a general equilibrium model of firm dynamics to study the effects of shocks to productivity, labor wedge, and collateral constraint (credit shock) on firm exit. We find that only the credit shock increases firm exit. This result is robust to the magnitude of shocks and different model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012238357
" macroeconomic events. We examine this conjecture by studying Bayesian predictive distributions for output growth and inflation in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010339756
The present work applies several advanced spectral methods to the analysis of macroeconomic fluctuations in three countries of the European Union: Italy, The Netherlands, and the United Kingdom. We focus here in particular on singular-spectrum analysis (SSA), which provides valuable spatial and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010225969
The Hodrick-Prescott filter is a popular tool in macroeconomics for decomposing a time series into a smooth trend and a business cycle component. The last few years have witnessed global events, such as the Global Financial Crisis, the COVID-19 pandemic, and the war in Ukraine, that have had...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014578421