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This paper investigates the role of fiscal policies over the aggregate EMU business cycle. Previous studies, based on the assumption of non-separability between public and private consumption, obtain a large public consumption multiplier, a small fraction of non-Ricardian households and,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011529025
This paper investigates which shocks drive asynchrony of business cycles in the euro area. Thereby, it unites two strands of literature, those on common features and on structural VAR analysis. In particular, we show that the presence of a common cycle implies collinearity of structural impulse...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011489953
In this paper we estimate a Bayesian vector autoregressive model with factor stochastic volatility in the error term to assess the effects of an uncertainty shock in the Euro area. This allows us to treat macroeconomic uncertainty as a latent quantity during estimation. Only a limited number of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011978764
-VAR models. DSGE model with expectations outperforms others for inflation; while for output and short term-interest rate the DSGE …
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, and Belgium and Malta being the largest losers. Governments are net winners of inflation, while the household (HH) sector …, while HHs in Finland and Spain turn out to be net winners of inflation. Considerable heterogeneity exists also within the HH … sector: relatively young middle class HHs are net winners of inflation, while older and richer HHs are losers. As a result …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011490481