We qualify some of the traditionally accepted results on the predictive power of the term spread over output. We show that in the case of short-term spreads, the direction of the predictive power may be the opposite to that usually found in the empirical literature, which has mostly rested on...

This work examines the variation of the simple Moving Average (MA) trading rule performance as a function of the MA length in New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), Athens Stock Exchange (ASE) and Vienna Stock Exchange (VSE) using daily data from May 1993 to April 2005. Results show that changes of the...