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Another look at cryptocurrency bubbles
Gronwald, Marc - 2019
This paper deals with cryptocurrency bubbles. First, it points out that a number of recent papers on cryptocurrency … bubbles are awed due to an insufficient consideration of the fundamental value of cryptocurrencies. As even fiat money is said … to exhibit features of bubbles, the same applies to cryptocurrencies. Thus, any empirical investigation into either the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012033146
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Nominal and real wages in the UK, 1750 - 2015 : mean reversion, persistence and structural breaks
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Gil-Alaña, Luis A. - 2022
This paper analyses the stochastic properties of UK nominal and real wages over the period 1750-2015 using fractional integration techniques. Both the original series and logged ones are analysed. The results generally suggest that nominal wages exhibit a higher degree of persistence, which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013417630
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The EMBI in Latin America : fractional integration, non-linearities and breaks
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Carcel, Hector; Gil-Alaña, … - 2015
This paper analyses the main statistical properties of the Emerging Market Bond Index (EMBI), namely long-range dependence or persistence, non-linearities, and structural breaks, in four Latin American countries (Argentina, Brazil, Mexico, Venezuela). For this purpose it uses a fractional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011392612
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Is market fear persistent? : a long-memory analysis
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Gil-Alaña, Luis A.; … - 2017
the nature of financial bubbles and anti-bubbles, and provide evidence on whether there exist market inefficiencies that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011669019
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Persistence in the Russian stock market volatility indices
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Gil-Alaña, Luis A.; … - 2018
This paper applies a fractional integration framework to analyse the stochastic behaviour of two Russian stock market volatility índices (namely the originally created RTSVX and the new RVI that has replaced it), using daily data over the period 2010-2018. The empirical findings are consistent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011903723
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Persistence in ESG and conventional stock market indices
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Gil-Alaña, Luis A.; … - 2021
This paper uses R/S analysis and fractional integration techniques to examine the persistence of two sets of 12 ESG and conventional stock price indices from the MSCI database over the period 2007-2020 for a large number of both developed and emerging markets. Both sets of results imply that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012520863
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Booms, busts and behavioural heterogeneity in stock prices
Hommes, Cars H.; Veld, Daan in't - 2015 - This draft: July 2015
We empirically evaluate a behavioural model with boundedly rational traders who disagree about the persistence of deviations from the fundamental stock price. Fundamentalist traders believe in mean-reversion, while chartists extrapolate trends. Agents gradually switch between the two rules,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011301214
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High and low prices and the range in the European stock markets : a long-memory approach
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Gil-Alaña, Luis A.; Poza, Carlos - 2019
This paper uses fractional integration techniques to examine the stochastic behaviour of high and low stock prices in Europe and then to test for the possible existence of long-run linkages between them by looking at the range, i.e., the difference between the two logged series. Specifically,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012022262
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Testing for parameter instability in competing modeling frameworks
Calvori, Francesco; Creal, Drew; Koopman, Siem Jan; … - 2014
We develop a new parameter stability test against the alternative of observation driven generalized autoregressive score dynamics. The new test generalizes the ARCH-LM test of Engle (1982) to settings beyond time-varying volatility and exploits any autocorrelation in the likelihood scores under...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010229896
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Spot variance path estimation and its application to high frequency jump testing
Bos, Charles S.; Janus, Paweł; Koopman, Siem Jan - 2009
This paper considers spot variance path estimation from datasets of intraday high frequency asset prices in the presence of diurnal variance patterns, jumps, leverage effects and microstructure noise. We rely on parametric and nonparametric methods. The estimated spot variance path can be used...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011379469