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Continental Europe, implemented between 1936 and 1975. We assess the causal effect of education on the number of biological … children and the incidence of childlessness. We find surprising results for Continental Europe: the additional education …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010431274
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003641659
In this paper, we decompose body mass index (BMI) differences between Turkish immigrants and Germans in West Germany for women and men. We focus on isolating the part of BMI differences that can be explained by differences in observed socioeconomic status from the part attributable to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011343750
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010401955
In this paper, an Unobserved Components Model is employed to decompose German real GDP into the trend, cycle and seasonal components and the working day effect. The most important findings are: 1) The growth rate of potential output declined from 4.2 per cent in the sixties to 1.4 per cent at...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011409368
This paper deals with the estimation of the output gap. We use uni- and bivariate unobserved components models in order … ifo business assessment variable as an indicator for the cycle the estimation of the output gap is much more precise and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009781503
In this paper we augment the Bayesian unobserved components model of the EU Commission to estimate the cyclical component of total factor productivity (TFP gap) with a factor structure to include a wide array of business cycle indicators. We demonstrate that this model extension considerably...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013503372
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009750989
Quarterly GDP figures usually are published with a delay of some weeks. A common way to generate GDP series of higher frequency, i.e. to nowcast GDP, is to use available indicators to calculate a single index by means of a common factor derived from a dynamic factor model (DFM). This paper deals...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010229863
; VECM measurement errors ; Bayesian estimation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009295333