We qualify some of the traditionally accepted results on the predictive power of the term spread over output. We show that in the case of short-term spreads, the direction of the predictive power may be the opposite to that usually found in the empirical literature, which has mostly rested on...

Facing the worst financial crisis since the Great Depression, the Federal Reserve (Fed) has responded with sweeping, unprecedented actions to aid a slowing economy and stimulate a frozen credit market. We focus on the policy changes instituted by the Fed and their wealth effects on banks,...

This article investigates the determinants of US interest rate swap spreads in the period including the financial crisis. The asymmetric impacts of the financial crisis on interest rate swap spreads are focused by dividing the whole sample period into two. Four determinants of swap spreads -...

In this article, a small-scale macroeconomic system is estimated in the framework of a common trends model, in order to explore the dynamic interactions between real house prices, consumption expenditure and output in the US and major European economies. The results point to important...

The effects of the current global economic crisis are widespread. The economic downturn has affected large sectors of the population in developed and developing countries and international immigrants have not been the exception. This article documents the recent slowdown in workers' remittances,...

This article investigates the effects of the financial crisis on the Swedish real economy. In order to do this, an index which describes the financial conditions of the Swedish economy is developed. The index indicates that domestic Swedish financial conditions have deteriorated substantially...

This article investigates the dynamics of correlation between 11 Asian stock markets and the US stock market. By utilizing the method of 'principal components', we identify a single latent factor that can explain a major portion of variation in the weekly returns of these 11 markets from 1993 to...