We show that the behaviour of the real exchange rates of the UK, Germany, France and Japan has been characterized by structural breaks, which changed the adjustment mechanism. In the context of a Time-Varying Smooth Transition Autoregression (TV-STAR) of the kind introduced by Lundbergh et al....

We attempt to resolve the empirical puzzle in the Fisher effect that nominal stock returns are negatively related to expected inflation. We postulate that this negative relation is caused by simultaneous changes in expected inflation, ex ante real interest rates on bonds and ex ante real returns...