We qualify some of the traditionally accepted results on the predictive power of the term spread over output. We show that in the case of short-term spreads, the direction of the predictive power may be the opposite to that usually found in the empirical literature, which has mostly rested on...

This article investigates the determinants of US interest rate swap spreads in the period including the financial crisis. The asymmetric impacts of the financial crisis on interest rate swap spreads are focused by dividing the whole sample period into two. Four determinants of swap spreads -...