Showing 1 - 9 of 9
Linear dynamic equilibrium correction mechanisms are shown to follow from the discretisation of continuous economic processes with steady-state solutions. In addition, the proposed procedure provides testable restrictions on the coefficients of the dynamic econometric model.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012143561
Relationships between the Federal funds rate, unemployment, inflation, and the long-term government-bond rate are investigated with cointegration techniques. We find a stable long-term relationship between the Federal funds rate, unemployment, and the bond rate. This relationship is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005750013
The paper focused on measuring efficiency of investment strategies and portfolio optimization based on dynamic portfolio formation using the global minimum variance approach in a region of central European countries. The paper analyses DCC GARCH model, which was employed in order to obtain...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322273
The study concentrates on an analysis of the Czech stock market performed by an application of DCC MV GARCH model of Engle (2002). Data sample including years from 1994 to 2009 is represented by daily returns of Prague Stock Exchange index and other 11 major stock indices. There is found an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322302
In the mid-eighties econometric forecasts and ex post simulations of private consumption in Norway began to show clear signs of "structural breakdown" .This evidence lends itself to two interpretations, distinct in their implications for econometric modelling of aggregate consumption. On the one...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012143547
Inflation targeting makes the Central Bank's conditional inflation forecast the operational target for monetary policy. Successful inflation targeting requires knowing the transmission mechanisms to inflation from shocks as well as instruments. The econometric implications are that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012143558
Estimates of the NAIRU are usually derived either from a Phillips curve or from a wage curve. This paper investigates the correspondence between the operational NAIRU-concepts and the steady state of a dynamic wage-price model. We derive the parameter restrictions that secure that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012143566
The paper describes the influx of mathematical statistics in economics. It focuses on an approach to macroeconometric modelling which is based on fundamental statistical concepts like the joint distribution function of all observable variables for the whole sample period. The methodology relies...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012143574
This paper estimates Okun's law in the EU15 countries between 1980 and 2018. It employs three different versions of the law with a focus on the dynamic part of the relationship. We find that the negative relationship between unemployment and output holds for most countries and is fairly stable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012040048