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Linear dynamic equilibrium correction mechanisms are shown to follow from the discretisation of continuous economic processes with steady-state solutions. In addition, the proposed procedure provides testable restrictions on the coefficients of the dynamic econometric model.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012143561
In the mid-eighties econometric forecasts and ex post simulations of private consumption in Norway began to show clear signs of "structural breakdown" .This evidence lends itself to two interpretations, distinct in their implications for econometric modelling of aggregate consumption. On the one...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012143547
Inflation targeting makes the Central Bank's conditional inflation forecast the operational target for monetary policy. Successful inflation targeting requires knowing the transmission mechanisms to inflation from shocks as well as instruments. The econometric implications are that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012143558
Estimates of the NAIRU are usually derived either from a Phillips curve or from a wage curve. This paper investigates the correspondence between the operational NAIRU-concepts and the steady state of a dynamic wage-price model. We derive the parameter restrictions that secure that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012143566
The paper describes the influx of mathematical statistics in economics. It focuses on an approach to macroeconometric modelling which is based on fundamental statistical concepts like the joint distribution function of all observable variables for the whole sample period. The methodology relies...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012143574