Showing 1 - 10 of 13
German states (the Free State of Saxony and Baden-Wuerttemberg) and Eastern Germany for the period from 1997 to 2013, in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011557750
This paper looks into the 'fine print' of boosting for economic forecasting. By using German industrial production for the period from 1996 to 2014 and a data set consisting of 175 monthly indicators, we evaluate which indicators get selected by the boosting algorithm over time and four...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011411839
-Württemberg) and Eastern Germany. We overcome the problem of a "data-poor environment" at the sub-national level by including more than …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009630640
Germany’s comparatively good economic performance throughout the Great Recession of the years 2008/2009 is often …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012388222
state of Berlin and the federal level in Germany. State voting intentions for the state and for the federal parliament are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011615805
This analysis investigates the predictive power of the most important leading indicators for the German economy, which are provided by the ifo Institute and IHS Markit. We conduct an out-of-sample, real-time forecast experiment for growth of gross domestic product and growth of gross value added...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012174766
This paper investigates the main determinants of the regional representation of foreign employees in Germany. Since … for total foreign employment but also for the 35 most important migration countries to Germany. Based on a total census … for all 402 districts in Germany, we find a large heterogeneity in migration determinants between nationalities. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011611136
the Joint Economic Forecast, which is an in-dependent forecasting institution in Germany. Our results indicate that … decline in Germany's trend growth and a systematic failure to correctly anticipate recessions. We show that the German …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011958832
We estimate potential regional industrial effects in case of a threatening gas deficit. For Germany, the reduction …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014384027
The ifo Institute is Germany’s largest business survey provider, with the ifo Business Climate Germany as one of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012219339