This paper assesses the possible development of government interest expenditures as a share of GDP for Germany, France, Italy and Spain. Until 2021, these and other member states could anticipate a further reduction of interest expenditure in the future. This outlook has changed considerably...

We study the long-run interaction between Germany’s economic growth trajectory and demographic aging. Using a comprehensive dataset, we leverage the classical production function approach to estimate potential output growth between 1970 and 2070. We account for the inherent uncertainty in our...

Die Abschätzung der Wirkung der Gaspreisbremse auf Inflation und fiskalische Kosten unterliegt einer hohen Unsicherheit. Das liegt zum einen an dem unsicheren Verlauf des zukünftigen Gaspreises. Zum anderen entsteht die hohe Unsicherheit aufgrund mangelnder Informationen über die...