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~isPartOf:"Arbeitspapier / Institut für Volkswirtschaftslehre, Sozial- und Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät, Johannes-Kepler-Universität, Linz,"
~isPartOf:"Boston College working papers in economics"
~isPartOf:"Discussion paper / Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Sonderforschungsbereich 373 Quantifikation und Simulation Ökonomischer Prozesse"
~isPartOf:"Discussion paper / Tinbergen Institute"
~isPartOf:"Discussion papers / Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung"
~language:"eng"
~person:"Basu, Susanto"
~person:"Daníelsson, Jón"
~person:"Dreher, Axel"
~person:"Gil-Alaña, Luis A."
~person:"Koopman, Siem Jan"
~person:"Poot, Jacques"
~person:"Praag, Bernard M. S. van"
~subject:"Credit risk"
~subject:"Konjunkturtheorie"
~subject:"Schätzung"
~subject:"Simulation"
~subject:"Stochastischer Prozess"
~subject:"Theory"
~subject:"USA"
~type_genre:"Arbeitspapier"
~type_genre:"Collection of articles written by one author"
~type_genre:"Handbuch"
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Basu, Susanto
Daníelsson, Jón
Dreher, Axel
Gil-Alaña, Luis A.
Koopman, Siem Jan
Poot, Jacques
Praag, Bernard M. S. van
Nijkamp, Peter
117
Verhoef, Erik T.
116
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70
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69
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63
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62
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52
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51
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41
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40
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38
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36
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36
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34
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34
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34
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32
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31
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30
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27
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25
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25
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22
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22
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22
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Arbeitspapier / Institut für Volkswirtschaftslehre, Sozial- und Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät, Johannes-Kepler-Universität, Linz,
Boston College working papers in economics
Discussion paper / Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Sonderforschungsbereich 373 Quantifikation und Simulation Ökonomischer Prozesse
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38
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21
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15
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8
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71
Short-term price overreaction : identification, testing, exploitation
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria
;
Gil-Alaña, Luis A.
; …
-
2014
This paper examines short-term price reactions after one-day abnormal price changes and whether they create exploitable profit opportunities in various financial markets. A t-test confirms the presence of overreactions and also suggests that there is an "inertia anomaly", i.e. after an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010438074
Saved in:
72
Macro, industry and frailty effects in defaults : the 2008 credit crisis in perspective
Koopman, Siem Jan
;
Lucas, André
;
Schwaab, Bernd
-
2010
We determine the magnitude and nature of systematic default risk using 1971{2009) default data from Moody's. We disentangle systematic risk factors due to business cycle effects, common default dynamics (frailty), and industry-specific dynamics (including contagion). To quantify the contribution...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011379607
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73
Models with time-varying mean and variance : a robust analysis of US industrial production
Bos, Charles S.
;
Koopman, Siem Jan
-
2010
Many seasonal macroeconomic time series are subject to changes in their means and variances over a long time horizon. In this paper we propose a general treatment for the modelling of time-varying features in economic time series. We show that time series models with mean and variance functions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011379641
Saved in:
74
Modeling trigonometric seasonal components for monthly economic time series
Hindrayanto, Irma
;
Aston, John A.D.
;
Koopman, Siem Jan
; …
-
2010
The basic structural time series model has been designed for the modelling and forecasting of seasonal economic time series. In this paper we explore a generalisation of the basic structural time series model in which the time-varying trigonometric terms associated with different seasonal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011379642
Saved in:
75
A dynamic multivariate heavy-tailed model for time-varying volatilities and correlations
Creal, Drew
;
Koopman, Siem Jan
;
Lucas, André
-
2010
We propose a new class of observation-driven time-varying parameter models for dynamic volatilities and correlations to handle time series from heavy-tailed distributions. The model adopts generalized autoregressive score dynamics to obtain a time-varying covariance matrix of the multivariate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011380135
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76
Systemic risk diagnostics
Schwaab, Bernd
;
Lucas, André
;
Koopman, Siem Jan
-
2010
, and the rest of the
world
. Controlling for global,region-specific, and industry effects, we construct coincident measures …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011382067
Saved in:
77
Observation driven mixed-measurement dynamic factor models with an application to credit risk
Creal, Drew
;
Schwaab, Bernd
;
Koopman, Siem Jan
;
Lucas, …
-
2011
This paper has been accepted for publication in the 'Review of Economics and Statistics'.We propose a dynamic factor model for mixed-measurement and mixed-frequency panel data. In this framework time series observations may come from a range of families of parametric distributions, may be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011383248
Saved in:
78
Numerically accelerated importance sampling for nonlinear non-Gaussian state space models
Koopman, Siem Jan
;
Lucas, André
;
Scharth, Marcel
-
2012
We introduce a new efficient importance sampler for nonlinear non-Gaussian state space models. We propose a general and efficient likelihood evaluation method for this class of models via the combination of numerical and Monte Carlo integration methods. Our methodology explores the idea that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011386179
Saved in:
79
Modeling dynamic volatilities and correlations under skewness and fat tails
Zhang, Xin
;
Creal, Drew
;
Koopman, Siem Jan
;
Lucas, André
-
2011
We propose a new model for dynamic volatilities and correlations of skewed and heavy-tailed data. Our model endows the Generalized Hyperbolic distribution with time-varying parameters driven by the score of the observation density function. The key novelty in our approach is the fact that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011386468
Saved in:
80
Age-differentiated QALI losses
Praag, Bernard M. S. van
;
Ferrer-i-Carbonell, Ada
-
2001
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001647213
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