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Does ECB communication help in predicting its interest rate decisions? : Presented at CESifo Area Conference on Macro, Money & International Finance, February 2006

Jansen, David-Jan; Haan, Jakob de - 2006

We examine the usefulness of communication by the European Central Bank for predicting its interest rate decisions. We use ordered probit models based on the Taylor rule which we estimate using statements by ECB officials as well as macroeconomic variables. Statements by ECB officials on the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003381673

Has the financial crisis eroded citizens’ trust in the European Central Bank? : panel data evidence for the euro area ; 1999-2011

Roth, Felix; Gros, Daniel; Nowak-Lehmann D., Felicitas - 2012 - Revised Version: March 2012

In the aftermath of the financial crisis trust, in the European Central Bank (ECB) has reached an historical low. Taking panel data and using a fixed effects DFGLS estimation for a 12–country sample over the time period 1999 to 2011 with a total of 312 observations, this paper detects a...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009711914

CEECs integration into regional and global production networks

Martínez-Zarzoso, Inmaculada; Voicu, Anca M.; Vidovic, … - 2011

This paper examines the involvement of the CEECs into regional and global production networks over the period 1999 to 2009. We employ a theoretically justified gravity model which incorporates the extensive margin of trade and accounts for firm heterogeneity. We first estimate the model for...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009126416

Has the financial crisis eroded citizens' trust in the European Central Bank? : evidence from 1999-2010

Roth, Felix; Gros, Daniel; Nowak-Lehmann D., Felicitas - 2011

Trust in the ECB has fallen to unprecedented lows in the aftermath of the financial crisis. Up to the start of the recession in 2008, trust levels in the ECB were moderately high and trust in the ECB was not affected by business cycle variables such as growth and inflation. This changed...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009126422

Credibility and transparency of central banks : new results based on IFO's world economic survey

Hamella, Sandra; Haan, Jakob de - 2004

This paper reports the results of a survey among private sector economists about credibility and transparency of central banks. In line with the survey of Alan Blinder among central bankers, we asked participants in Ifo's World Economic Survey to answer questions on the importance and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002175358

MERCOSUR-European Union Trade : how important is EU trade liberalisation for MERCOSUR's exports?

Martínez-Zarzoso, Inmaculada (contributor); … - 2004 - [Elektronische Ressource]

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002166923

Does money matter in the ECB strategy? : New evidence based on ECB communication

Berger, Helge; Haan, Jakob de; Sturm, Jan-Egbert - 2006

We examine the role of money in the policies of the ECB, using introductory statements of the ECB President at the monthly press conferences during 1999-2004. Over time, the relative amount of words devoted to the monetary analysis has decreased. Our analysis of indicators of the monetary policy...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003270661

Turkey and the Ankara treaty of 1963 : what can trade integration do for Turkish exports?

Nowak-Lehmann D., Felicitas; Herzer, Dierk; … - 2005

This paper investigates the trade effects of Turkey’s trade integration into the EU. To this end sectoral trade flows … to the EU based on panel data from the period 1988 to 2002 are examined concentrating on Turkey's sixteen most important … export sectors. Emphasis is placed on the role of price competition, EU protection, and transport costs in the export trade …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002846553

Look who's talking : ECB communication during the first years of EMU

Jansen, David-Jan; Haan, Jakob de - 2004

This paper studies ECB and Bundesbank communication on monetary policy during the first years of the European Economic and Monetary Union. We study whether statements by different (groups of) central bankers have been contradictory and whether differences have diminished over time. We find that...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002388561

Macroeconomic stabilization policies in the EMU : spillovers, asymmetries, and institutions

Di Bartolomeo, Giovanni; Engwerda, Jacob Christiaan; … - 2005

This paper studies the institutional design of the coordination of macroeconomic stabilization policies within a monetary union in the framework of linear quadratic differential games. A central role in the analysis plays the partitioned game approach of the endogenous coalition formation...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002658217