Showing 1 - 10 of 160
The Asian Development Outlook (ADO) provides growth and inflation forecasts for more than 40 economies in the region. This paper assesses the accuracy of those forecasts against actual outcomes for the years from 2008 to 2011. The World Economic Outlook (WEO) forecasts by the International...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013049286
found to overlap quite closely, notwithstanding much heterogeneity across countries and years. Forecast accuracy sharpens …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892014
This study reviews and analyzes the changes in total factor productivity (TFP) growth in 12 Asian economies – the People's Republic of China; Hong Kong, China; India; Indonesia; the Republic of Korea; Malaysia; Pakistan; the Philippines; Singapore; Taipei, China; Thailand; and Viet Nam – for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013135316
This study develops a framework to forecast India's gross domestic product growth on a quarterly frequency from 2004 to … targeting. The predictive ability of over 3,000 BVAR models is assessed through a set of forecast evaluation statistics and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012890170
operators. Finally, we show that when quality of data is low, a careful selection of indicators is crucial for better forecast …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013009378
In this paper, we analyze the determinants of the domestic saving rate in developing Asia during 1966-2007 and find … project future trends in domestic saving rates in developing Asia for 2011-2030 based on our estimation results, and find that … the aging of the population will be the main determinant of future trends in domestic saving rates in developing Asia …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013135315
The demographic dividend that contributed substantially to economic growth in developing Asia in the past is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013118646
developing Asia up to 2050. Using a simple stylized model and the National Transfer Accounts data set, we simulate the effect of … still-growing working-age populations. Overall, our simulation results indicate that Asia's population aging will adversely …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012986580
We use a dynamic forecasting model to evaluate a wide array of opportunities for sustained economic growth in Myanmar. Our simulation results suggest that the government of Myanmar can advance potential growth drivers, by maintaining a stable macroeconomic environment that is conducive to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013016173
This study examines the effects of capital account restrictions on capital flows in nine Asian economies over the period 1995-2005 using panel regressions with fixed effects. The results show that capital controls significantly affect capital flows when such flows are disaggregated by asset type...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013128050