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The Global Vector Autoregressive (GVAR) approach has proven to be a very useful approach to analyze interactions in the global macroeconomy and other data networks where both the cross-section and the time dimensions are large. This paper surveys the latest developments in the GVAR modeling,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010354717
are analysed and insights from the theory of industrial organisation are given. Governments intervene in the market for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002734112
This paper is concerned with empirical and theoretical basis of the Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH). The paper begins with an overview of the statistical properties of asset returns at different frequencies (daily, weekly and monthly), and considers the evidence on return predictability, risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003983206
have taken place. We test this unexplored implication of the theory empirically. We find in a world sample from 1970 to …We analyze the influence of IMF and World Bank programs on political regime transitions. We develop an extended version … transitions ; democracy ; autocracy ; IMF ; World Bank …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009630635
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003624878
The recent plunge in oil prices has brought into question the generally accepted view that lower oil prices are good for the US and the global economy. In this paper, using a quarterly multi-country econometric model, we first show that a fall in oil prices tends relatively quickly to lower...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011502542
We develop a framework for modeling conditional loss distributions through the introduction of risk factor dynamics. Asset value changes of a credit portfolio are linked to a dynamic global macroeconometric model, allowing macro effects to be isolated from idiosyncratic shocks. Default...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011508097
We examine whether the sorting of differently achieving students into differently sized classes results in a regressive or compensatory pattern of class sizes for a sample of national school systems. Sorting effects are identified by subtracting the causal effect of class size on performance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011509528
We use the PISA student-level achievement database to estimate international education production functions. Student characteristics, family backgrounds, home inputs, resources, teachers and institutions are all significantly related to math, science and reading achievement. Our models account...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011449993
This paper examines whether growth regressions should incorporate dualism and structural change. If there is a differential across sectors in the marginal product of labour, changes in the structure of employment can raise aggregate total factor productivity. The paper develops empirical growth...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011451098