The papers in this issue are concerned with the behaviour of exchange rates - their fundamental determinants, adjustment processes and policy implications. The authors combine theory with empirical evidence, test hypotheses as well as show the relevance of their analysis for policy. This...

This paper explores the interaction of fundamental and portfolio factors in the determination of the exchange rate. The weights on the factors evolve endogenously as a function of relative fundamental and portfolio errors. The model also generates exchange rate mixture distributions that may be...

The EMU is in the process of expanding its membership. How will the expansion affect the equilibrium or sustainable real value of the euro? What is the explanatory power of the model used to explain the equilibrium value of a synthetic euro? We then demonstrate quantitatively the dynamic effects...

The International Monetary Fund, the World Bank and the bond rating agencies did not anticipate the crises in Asia 1997-98 and in Argentina 2001. With this statement in mind, we consider some multi-stage inter-temporal stochastic optimisation models in international finance that imply...